Football Betting Trends
Will the football betting trends for the Super Bowl Participants
revert back to the norm or are we looking at a new trend? Until
last year, the past 10 years the winners of the Super Bowl are a
combined 58-79 ATS for a lousy 42% win ratio following their
Super Bowl victory. While the losers of the Super Bowl are even
worse the following year at 64-94 for a 41% win ratio. Combined,
that is a record of 122-173 ATS for a low 41% win ratio. I
mentioned all these figures last year in the Super
Bowl Football Betting Trend article.
New England
and Carolina broke the football betting trend last year by
combining for a 68% winning percentage Against The Spread (ATS).
New England was 13-4-2 (76%) and Carolina was 9-6-1 (60%).
A winning ATS record the following season for a Super Bowl
Participant had only happened 4 times out of 20 chances the past
ten years. (2 teams times 10 years = 20 chances) The Pittsburgh
Steelers went 10-7 for a 58% win ratio after losing to the
Dallas Cowboys back in Super Bowl XXX. Denver had a winning
record ATS twice, 12-7 (63%) following their victory against
Green Bay in Super Bowl XXXII and after their victory against
Atlanta in Super Bowl XXXIII they went 9-5 (64%) the next year.
Baltimore barely finished over 50% at 9-8 (53%) after beating
the Giants in Super Bowl XXXV. Carolina and New England
increased the total to six with their sterling records last
year.
So does the football betting trend that has
dominated the NFL make a comeback or do Philadelphia and New
England continue the success from last year for the previous
Super Bowl participants? I think the success from last year will
continue this year not because I am superstitious but I think
the lines may favor the Eagles and the Patriots.
The
Eagles will have the harder time continuing the football betting
trend and getting the lines a bettor wants (when looking to bet
the Eagles) but I think they will continue to get better and
dominate like last year and cover most of the big point spreads
that come their way. They finished 12-7 ATS last year and were
6-4 ATS when laying over a touchdown. But if the Owens situation
becomes a problem the lines will favor the Eagle bettors and I
think McNabb would cherish the opportunity to perform at a high
level without TO.
The Patriots bettors should receive
favorable lines because they lost both coordinators. You should
be able to jump on the Patriots at a great price and make some
money early. People will be looking for them to fall back but I
would not bet against Belichick if I were you. The man can coach
and he will actually use this to his advantage and have his
players ready to prove everyone wrong. Motivation will not be a
problem. If they stumble the first 4 weeks, bettors will make a
killing jumping on them or staying with them because the lines
will change even more.
About the author:
Leo Mendelsohn is the CEO of Thehooksfootballpicks.com. Free
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Author: Leo Mendelsohn